MBS Day Ahead: How did Such a Good Week Happen? Posted To: MBS Commentary Today’s Fed Announcement was the first scheduled big-ticket market mover of the year since the NFP report on January 4th. With the government shutdown depriving us of data, and several other factors contributing to a sideways grind over the past few weeks, it was all the more hotly anticipated.
Big rally in oil brings stocks back up and keeps pressure on bonds Corporate debt supply also hurt Treasuries specifically, but earlier in the day MBS underperformed as the day progressed, ended down.
It means 420,000 Americans will be forced to work without pay over the holidays, 380,000 will be furloughed, and 30 million small businesses will lose access to loans. and brands it a ‘Democrat.
Mortgage applications down 1.2% as rates continue to rise Mortgage applications down 1.2% as rates continue to rise. – Mortgage applications down 1.2% as rates continue to rise – For five straight weeks, mortgage interest rates have trended higher, and thrown a wet blanket on what had been a booming refinance market.
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At first glance, this morning’s weakness was all about the Consumer Price Index (CPI)–the most widely-followed inflation report. In order to make a case for CPI causing the weakness, we’d have to.
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Posted To: mbs commentaryas we discuss off and on over the years, the relationship between stocks and bonds is always complicated. At times, it seems as if bond yields and stocks prices are following each other in lock-step. That’s been true of most of the big moves in the 4th quarter of 2018, but there have still been noticeable divergences.
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Investors welcomed the Fed’s decision to stand pat on monetary policy, with the Dow industrials surging more than 400 points at the close. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq climbed 1.5% and 2%, respectively.
Mortgage Rates Moderately Improved To Begin The Week All US Mortgage Rates Decrease This Week This week mortgage applications increased 11.9% compared to a week earlier, while according to Freddie Mac all mortgage rates have decreased this week, with fixed-rate mortgages at their lowest level since the start of 2014 a few weeks ago.
While Halifax doesn’t offer many table-topping deals, the 2.65% average interest rate of a two-year fixed-rate mortgage from the lender is still cheaper than the industry average of 2.81%. When we asked Halifax mortgage customers about the interest rate they were paying, around four in 10 said they were currently paying between 2% and 2.99%.
The money market is described by a plot of the interest rate (y-axis) and the quantity of money (x-axis). The line drawn is for money demand at a given level of nominal income, where nominal income (PY) is the real output multiplied by the price level (inflation). The money market model implies a corresponding and opposite bond market model.
Global core bonds gained ground yesterday as ongoing growth concerns and fading. The political developments with respect to the US government shutdown and headlines on the fate of the China-US.