MBS Day Ahead: What Happens If Bonds Break This Ceiling? (Philosophical Discussion on Technicals)

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Accrued Interest I oversee taxable bond trading for a small investment management firm. Opinions expressed on this website may not reflect the opinions of my employers. Strategies described here should not be taken as advice, and may not be the strategies being used for my clients.

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For those paying any sort of attention to trading levels in bond markets over the past few weeks, it’s hard to miss the super narrow range between 2.825 and 2.885 in 10yr yields. That’s been perfectly intact since June 27th, and was broken for the first time in today’s overnight session.

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Summary: Review, Update & Looking Forward intermediate-term picture remains bearish Worst Six Months Begins Fed Is Behind, But Still Screwing Up Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan

This is wrong. If breaking bonds released energy, they would break spontaneously and molecules would not be stable. Plants use the energy they get from sunlight to break the strong bonds of H 2 O and CO 2 and form sugars with weaker bonds. Animals break the weak bonds of the sugars and form the strong bonds of H 2 O and CO 2 which releases energy.

Mortgage Rates Over the Past 50 Years Spending has been mixed over the past few months. to outnumber unemployed workers although the vacancy rate declined. Despite the slowdown in hiring, initial jobless claims fell to a near 50-year.

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds at Risk of Confirming Death of Positive 2014 trend. september 15, 2014. As Treasury yields and mortgage rates spiraled rapidly higher over the past two weeks, 2014’s steady trend toward lower rates quickly strayed into vulnerable territory. Specifically, 10yr yields lost more ground, more quickly than at any other time this year.

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higher/lower than expected, bonds should sell/rally accordingly." In fact, for a stretch of many years, such a statement was a given, but we’ve since seen it go out the window for various reasons. In contrast, technical analysis is far less reliable. It always has been. To say that big things will happen if yields break over 2.885 is folly.